Bowling Green Falcons at Ball State Cardinals

Bowling Green Falcons at Ball State CardinalsTonight, the Ball State Cardinals host the Bowling Green Falcons in Muncie, Ind. at Scheumann Stadium in the regular season finale for both teams. The Cardinals are 3-8 and only have pride to play for, while the Falcons are 8-3 and have a date in Detroit next week.

BSU beat these Falcons in last season's finale in Bowling Green, but they haven't beaten BGSU in Muncie since 1995.

In last week’s matchup, Ball State lost to Ohio 48-31. KeVonn Mabon had a great game in the loss, pulling in 10 receptions for 139 yards and one TD. Riley Neal also had a great game with 247 yards and two TDs through the air. Bowling Green also came up short, losing to Toledo 44-28. Gehrig Dieter had a huge game for the Falcons, grabbing 13 receptions for 103 yards and three TDs. Matt Johnson had a great game as well, adding 274 yards and three TDs through the air.

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Sitting at 3-8 Straight Up (SU) and 4-7 Against The Spread (ATS), the Cardinals will look to improve heading into Week 13. In their five most recent matchups, the Cardinals went 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. The Cardinals love to throw, ranking 22nd in the country with 38.1 throwing attempts per game. On average, the Falcons earn 8.8 flags each game, one of the worst rates in the nation. Such errors could be beneficial for the Cardinals if they persist into this week’s game.

The Falcons head into Week 13 with records of 8-3 for both ATS and SU. Over their last five games, the Falcons have a SU and ATS record of 4-1 for those betting with them. Chances are Bowling Green will continue to rely on its passing attack, where its 401.4 passing yards per game ranks second in the nation. Over the last five games, the Falcons turned it up on defense, only allowing an average of 21 PPG. Their season average is 29.4 points, so they’ve shown a marked improvement. The Cardinals are matching up with Bowling Green’s pass defense at an inopportune time. Over the last five games, opponents only averaged 189.8 yards through the air, lower than Bowling Green’s season average of 264.4 yards. Teams need to stay focused in the first quarter against the fast-starting Falcons, who average 9.2 points in the first 15 minutes.

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The under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 road games and the over is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games following a ATS loss while the Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and the under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games while going  6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

 

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