When: Thursday, November 12, 8:25 p.m. ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
The Buffalo Bills are 3-0 straight up and against the spread in their last three games against the New York Jets. The Bills could improve their playoff hopes immensely with an upset win this Thursday night in East Rutherford.
Second place in the AFC East is on the line for both teams, and while neither team is likely to catch the Patriots, a playoff berth remains a strong possibility. Thursday night's game will have huge playoff implications in the AFC.
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The Jets have been one of the most surprising teams in the AFC, and the offense is a big reason why. Veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick was thrown into the lineup and has made the most of the talented wide receivers at his disposal. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker have combined for 11 touchdowns. Meanwhile, running back Chris Ivory got off to a hot start but has cooled recently. The thing to watch with this offense is whether center Nick Mangold will be able to play. If he isn't healthy, the Bills' defensive line could have an easy time getting into the backfield.
On defense, the Jets have taken a big step forward in 2015. The front seven is among the best in football, and New York is leading the league in rushing defense. Darrelle Revis' return has also helped the secondary bounce back in a big way. This may be the toughest test Buffalo's offense has had all season long.
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The Buffalo Bills look for their third road win to get a game above a .500 record. Tyrod Taylor is completing 71.8 percent of his passes for 1,278 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Taylor has three touchdown passes in his last three games. Charles Clay and Sammy Watkins have combined for 671 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Robert Woods has 26 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 141.6 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 416 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 23.8 points and 353.5 yards per game. Corey Graham leads the Bills with 72 tackles, Mario Williams has three sacks and Ronald Darby has 15 pass deflections. Cyrus Kouandjio and LeSean McCoy are questionable.
The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East and 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win. The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Jets defense is going to be the difference maker in this game, and I don't trust Taylor to complete many passes against this elite New York secondary. The Jets are just way more of a balanced football team and should be able to get the job done on short rest.
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